CHH

CHH — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($104.15)
DCF$21.98-78.9%
Graham Number$26.56-74.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 19.1%
DDM$23.69-77.3%
EV/EBITDA$103.37-0.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $170.18M
Rev: 2.4% / EPS: -13.6%
Computed: 6.02%
Computed WACC: 6.02%
Cost of equity (Re)8.55%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.77 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)70.44%
Debt weight (D/V)29.56%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$77.68
Current Price$104.15
Upside / Downside-25.4%
Net Debt (used)$1.98B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$22.53$35.79$51.21$69.06$89.62
8.0%$10.87$21.54$33.93$48.26$64.74
9.0%$2.79$11.67$21.98$33.87$47.54
10.0%$-3.14$4.43$13.21$23.33$34.94
11.0%$-7.69$-1.10$6.51$15.28$25.33

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $7.90
Yahoo: $3.97

Results

Graham Number$26.56
Current Price$104.15
Margin of Safety-74.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.02%
Computed WACC: 6.02%
Cost of equity (Re)8.55%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.77 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)70.44%
Debt weight (D/V)29.56%

Results

Current Price$104.15
Implied Near-term FCF Growth8.1%
Historical Revenue Growth2.4%
Historical Earnings Growth-13.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$170.18M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.15

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$23.69
Current Price$104.15
Upside / Downside-77.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $505.92M
Current: 13.3×
Default: $1.98B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$103.37
Current Price$104.15
Upside / Downside-0.7%
Implied EV$6.73B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.98B$1.98B$1.98B$1.98B$1.98B
9.3x$59.35$59.35$59.35$59.35$59.35
11.3x$81.36$81.36$81.36$81.36$81.36
13.3x$103.37$103.37$103.37$103.37$103.37
15.3x$125.38$125.38$125.38$125.38$125.38
17.3x$147.40$147.40$147.40$147.40$147.40