CHRD

CHRD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($115.30)
DCF$159.28+38.1%
Graham Number$97.37-15.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 0.3%
DDM$107.12-7.1%
EV/EBITDA$113.26-1.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $591.16M
Rev: -19.4% / EPS: -56.9%
Computed: 6.69%
Computed WACC: 6.69%
Cost of equity (Re)8.22%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.71 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)81.38%
Debt weight (D/V)18.62%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$261.13
Current Price$115.30
Upside / Downside+126.5%
Net Debt (used)$1.32B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$160.85$198.08$241.38$291.51$349.24
8.0%$128.10$158.06$192.86$233.09$279.37
9.0%$105.40$130.35$159.28$192.69$231.07
10.0%$88.74$110.02$134.67$163.08$195.70
11.0%$75.98$94.47$115.86$140.48$168.70

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.96
Yahoo: $142.35

Results

Graham Number$97.37
Current Price$115.30
Margin of Safety-15.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.69%
Computed WACC: 6.69%
Cost of equity (Re)8.22%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.71 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)81.38%
Debt weight (D/V)18.62%

Results

Current Price$115.30
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-6.3%
Historical Revenue Growth-19.4%
Historical Earnings Growth-56.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$591.16M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $5.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$107.12
Current Price$115.30
Upside / Downside-7.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.34B
Current: 3.3×
Default: $1.32B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$113.26
Current Price$115.30
Upside / Downside-1.8%
Implied EV$7.76B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.32B$1.32B$1.32B$1.32B$1.32B
-0.7x$-51.03$-51.03$-51.03$-51.03$-51.03
1.3x$31.11$31.11$31.11$31.11$31.11
3.3x$113.26$113.26$113.26$113.26$113.26
5.3x$195.40$195.40$195.40$195.40$195.40
7.3x$277.55$277.55$277.55$277.55$277.55