CHY

CHY — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($11.80)
DCF$-4127.90-35081.4%
Graham Number$24.90+111.0%
Reverse DCF
DDM$24.72+109.5%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$12.21M
Rev: -28.5% / EPS: 174.0%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-4127.90
Current Price$11.80
Upside / Downside-35081.4%
Net Debt (used)$472.90M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term166.0%170.0%174.0%178.0%182.0%
7.0%$-5926.19$-6384.68$-6871.15$-7386.85$-7933.10
8.0%$-4514.96$-4864.11$-5234.56$-5627.28$-6043.25
9.0%$-3560.69$-3835.90$-4127.90$-4437.46$-4765.34
10.0%$-2878.81$-3101.19$-3337.15$-3587.28$-3852.21
11.0%$-2371.78$-2554.89$-2749.16$-2955.11$-3173.25

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.34
Yahoo: $11.78

Results

Graham Number$24.90
Current Price$11.80
Margin of Safety+111.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$11.80
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-28.5%
Historical Earnings Growth174.0%
Base FCF (TTM)-$12.21M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$24.72
Current Price$11.80
Upside / Downside+109.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $472.90M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-5.91
Current Price$11.80
Upside / Downside-150.1%
Implied EV$0