CKX

CKX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($11.05)
DCF$-16603.00-150353.4%
Graham Number$6.90-37.6%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$11.05+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$583,760
Rev: 35.8% / EPS: 199.7%
Computed: 3.18%
Computed WACC: 3.18%
Cost of equity (Re)3.18%(Rf 4.30% + β -0.20 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)100.00%
Debt weight (D/V)0.00%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-245146.60
Current Price$11.05
Upside / Downside-2218621.2%
Net Debt (used)-$7.85M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term191.7%195.7%199.7%203.7%207.7%
7.0%$-24261.97$-25971.45$-27775.95$-29679.38$-31685.76
8.0%$-18448.71$-19748.55$-21120.63$-22567.93$-24093.50
9.0%$-14520.35$-15543.37$-16623.24$-17762.31$-18962.98
10.0%$-11715.37$-12540.74$-13411.97$-14330.96$-15299.64
11.0%$-9631.30$-10309.82$-11026.04$-11781.51$-12577.83

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.23
Yahoo: $9.20

Results

Graham Number$6.90
Current Price$11.05
Margin of Safety-37.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 3.18%
Computed WACC: 3.18%
Cost of equity (Re)3.18%(Rf 4.30% + β -0.20 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)100.00%
Debt weight (D/V)0.00%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$11.05
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth35.8%
Historical Earnings Growth199.7%
Base FCF (TTM)-$583,760
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$11.05
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $92,734
Current: 160.0×
Default: -$7.85M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$11.05
Current Price$11.05
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$14.84M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.01B-$1.01B-$7.85M$992.15M$1.99B
156.0x$984.99$497.93$10.87$-476.19$-963.25
158.0x$985.08$498.02$10.96$-476.10$-963.16
160.0x$985.17$498.11$11.05$-476.01$-963.07
162.0x$985.26$498.20$11.14$-475.92$-962.98
164.0x$985.35$498.29$11.23$-475.83$-962.89