CMCL

CMCL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($31.87)
DCF$101636245.54+318908734.5%
Graham Number$27.16-14.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 4.5%
DDM$11.54-63.8%
EV/EBITDA$33.71+5.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $35.41M
Rev: 52.9% / EPS: 541.7%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$101568215.27
Current Price$31.87
Upside / Downside+318695272.7%
Net Debt (used)-$10.37M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term533.7%537.7%541.7%545.7%549.7%
7.0%$161547711.08$166711017.99$172005510.66$177433673.16$182998020.75
8.0%$122022018.32$125922020.41$129921110.96$134021166.30$138224086.23
9.0%$95392961.75$98441856.48$101568215.27$104773504.94$108059210.72
10.0%$76442056.75$78885250.32$81390518.67$83959037.23$86591996.14
11.0%$62411966.03$64406735.66$66452186.80$68549279.12$70698984.34

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.56
Yahoo: $12.81

Results

Graham Number$27.16
Current Price$31.87
Margin of Safety-14.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$31.87
Implied Near-term FCF Growth4.5%
Historical Revenue Growth52.9%
Historical Earnings Growth541.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$35.41M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.56

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$11.54
Current Price$31.87
Upside / Downside-63.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $108.01M
Current: 5.9×
Default: -$10.37M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$33.71
Current Price$31.87
Upside / Downside+5.8%
Implied EV$640.40M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.01B-$1.01B-$10.37M$989.63M$1.99B
1.9x$114.93$63.13$11.33$-40.47$-92.27
3.9x$126.12$74.32$22.52$-29.28$-81.08
5.9x$137.31$85.51$33.71$-18.09$-69.89
7.9x$148.50$96.70$44.90$-6.90$-58.70
9.9x$159.69$107.89$56.09$4.29$-47.51