CME

CME — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($319.50)
DCF$223.88-29.9%
Graham Number$141.70-55.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 41.8%
DDM$107.12-66.5%
EV/EBITDA$318.71-0.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $837.26M
Rev: 8.0% / EPS: 35.0%
Computed: 5.77%
Computed WACC: 5.77%
Cost of equity (Re)5.84%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.28 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.62%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)96.83%
Debt weight (D/V)3.17%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$500.91
Current Price$319.50
Upside / Downside+56.8%
Net Debt (used)-$784.70M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term27.0%31.0%35.0%39.0%43.0%
7.0%$258.41$300.23$347.41$400.43$459.85
8.0%$204.34$237.11$274.06$315.59$362.10
9.0%$167.32$193.91$223.88$257.54$295.23
10.0%$140.52$162.63$187.55$215.52$246.83
11.0%$120.30$139.04$160.15$183.84$210.35

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $11.15
Yahoo: $80.03

Results

Graham Number$141.70
Current Price$319.50
Margin of Safety-55.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.77%
Computed WACC: 5.77%
Cost of equity (Re)5.84%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.28 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.62%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)96.83%
Debt weight (D/V)3.17%

Results

Current Price$319.50
Implied Near-term FCF Growth27.1%
Historical Revenue Growth8.0%
Historical Earnings Growth35.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$837.26M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $5.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$107.12
Current Price$319.50
Upside / Downside-66.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.59B
Current: 24.8×
Default: -$784.70M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$318.71
Current Price$319.50
Upside / Downside-0.2%
Implied EV$113.80B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.78B-$1.78B-$784.70M$215.30M$1.22B
20.8x$273.21$270.42$267.64$264.86$262.08
22.8x$298.74$295.96$293.18$290.40$287.61
24.8x$324.28$321.49$318.71$315.93$313.15
26.8x$349.81$347.03$344.25$341.47$338.68
28.8x$375.34$372.56$369.78$367.00$364.22