CMG

CMG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($36.69)
DCF$10.55-71.3%
Graham Number$7.39-79.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 23.6%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$36.69-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.01B
Rev: 4.9% / EPS: 4.0%
Computed: 8.85%
Computed WACC: 8.85%
Cost of equity (Re)9.78%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.00 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.53%
Debt weight (D/V)9.47%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$10.87
Current Price$36.69
Upside / Downside-70.4%
Net Debt (used)$4.03B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$10.66$13.44$16.68$20.42$24.74
8.0%$8.22$10.45$13.05$16.06$19.52
9.0%$6.52$8.38$10.55$13.04$15.91
10.0%$5.27$6.86$8.71$10.83$13.27
11.0%$4.32$5.70$7.30$9.14$11.25

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.12
Yahoo: $2.17

Results

Graham Number$7.39
Current Price$36.69
Margin of Safety-79.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.85%
Computed WACC: 8.85%
Cost of equity (Re)9.78%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.00 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.53%
Debt weight (D/V)9.47%

Results

Current Price$36.69
Implied Near-term FCF Growth23.2%
Historical Revenue Growth4.9%
Historical Earnings Growth4.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.01B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$36.69
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.38B
Current: 21.8×
Default: $4.03B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$36.69
Current Price$36.69
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$51.81B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$2.03B$3.03B$4.03B$5.03B$6.03B
17.8x$30.91$30.14$29.37$28.61$27.84
19.8x$34.57$33.80$33.03$32.26$31.50
21.8x$38.23$37.46$36.69$35.92$35.15
23.8x$41.88$41.12$40.35$39.58$38.81
25.8x$45.54$44.77$44.00$43.24$42.47