CMI

CMI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($564.31)
DCF$1292.31+129.0%
Graham Number$203.04-64.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 26.5%
DDM$161.09-71.5%
EV/EBITDA$588.02+4.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.37B
Rev: 1.1% / EPS: 41.4%
Computed: 9.93%
Computed WACC: 9.93%
Cost of equity (Re)10.50%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.13 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.68%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.57%
Debt weight (D/V)9.43%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$1083.80
Current Price$564.31
Upside / Downside+92.1%
Net Debt (used)$4.50B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term33.4%37.4%41.4%45.4%49.4%
7.0%$1531.64$1775.44$2049.00$2354.98$2696.18
8.0%$1195.49$1385.89$1599.46$1838.27$2104.51
9.0%$965.77$1119.70$1292.31$1485.26$1700.32
10.0%$799.68$927.27$1070.30$1230.14$1408.23
11.0%$674.60$782.38$903.16$1038.08$1188.38

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $20.49
Yahoo: $89.42

Results

Graham Number$203.04
Current Price$564.31
Margin of Safety-64.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.93%
Computed WACC: 9.93%
Cost of equity (Re)10.50%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.13 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.68%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.57%
Debt weight (D/V)9.43%

Results

Current Price$564.31
Implied Near-term FCF Growth29.5%
Historical Revenue Growth1.1%
Historical Earnings Growth41.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.37B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $7.82

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$161.09
Current Price$564.31
Upside / Downside-71.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $5.19B
Current: 16.5×
Default: $4.50B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$588.02
Current Price$564.31
Upside / Downside+4.2%
Implied EV$85.75B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$2.50B$3.50B$4.50B$5.50B$6.50B
12.5x$452.24$445.00$437.77$430.53$423.29
14.5x$527.37$520.13$512.89$505.66$498.42
16.5x$602.50$595.26$588.02$580.78$573.55
18.5x$677.62$670.39$663.15$655.91$648.67
20.5x$752.75$745.51$738.28$731.04$723.80