CMP

CMP — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($25.20)
DCF$65.77+161.0%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: -5.5%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$25.20-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $209.09M
Rev: -25.0% / EPS: —
Computed: 6.86%
Computed WACC: 6.86%
Cost of equity (Re)12.94%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.57 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)53.00%
Debt weight (D/V)47.00%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$109.33
Current Price$25.20
Upside / Downside+333.9%
Net Debt (used)$917.30M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$66.53$84.41$105.22$129.30$157.03
8.0%$50.79$65.18$81.91$101.23$123.47
9.0%$39.89$51.87$65.77$81.82$100.26
10.0%$31.88$42.11$53.95$67.60$83.27
11.0%$25.75$34.64$44.91$56.74$70.30

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.91
Yahoo: $6.23

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$25.20
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.86%
Computed WACC: 6.86%
Cost of equity (Re)12.94%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.57 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)53.00%
Debt weight (D/V)47.00%

Results

Current Price$25.20
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-11.1%
Historical Revenue Growth-25.0%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$209.09M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$25.20
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $278.80M
Current: 7.1×
Default: $917.30M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$25.20
Current Price$25.20
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$1.97B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.08B-$82.70M$917.30M$1.92B$2.92B
3.1x$46.33$22.45$-1.44$-25.33$-49.21
5.1x$59.65$35.77$11.88$-12.01$-35.89
7.1x$72.97$49.09$25.20$1.31$-22.58
9.1x$86.29$62.41$38.52$14.63$-9.26
11.1x$99.61$75.73$51.84$27.95$4.06