CMRC

CMRC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($2.82)
DCF$7.15+153.4%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: -9.8%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$2.83+0.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $34.46M
Rev: 2.9% / EPS: —
Computed: 8.05%
Computed WACC: 8.05%
Cost of equity (Re)10.80%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.18 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.37%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)58.06%
Debt weight (D/V)41.94%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$8.43
Current Price$2.82
Upside / Downside+199.1%
Net Debt (used)$24.42M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$7.21$8.73$10.49$12.54$14.89
8.0%$5.87$7.10$8.51$10.16$12.04
9.0%$4.95$5.96$7.15$8.51$10.07
10.0%$4.27$5.14$6.14$7.30$8.63
11.0%$3.75$4.50$5.37$6.38$7.53

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.24
Yahoo: $0.48

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$2.82
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.05%
Computed WACC: 8.05%
Cost of equity (Re)10.80%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.18 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.37%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)58.06%
Debt weight (D/V)41.94%

Results

Current Price$2.82
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-11.9%
Historical Revenue Growth2.9%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$34.46M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$2.82
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $8.93M
Current: 28.4×
Default: $24.42M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$2.83
Current Price$2.82
Upside / Downside+0.2%
Implied EV$254.07M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.98B-$975.58M$24.42M$1.02B$2.02B
24.4x$27.00$14.69$2.39$-9.92$-22.23
26.4x$27.22$14.91$2.61$-9.70$-22.01
28.4x$27.44$15.13$2.83$-9.48$-21.79
30.4x$27.66$15.35$3.05$-9.26$-21.57
32.4x$27.88$15.57$3.27$-9.04$-21.35