CMS

CMS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($78.08)
DCF$-212.89-372.7%
Graham Number$48.08-38.4%
Reverse DCF
DDM$46.97-39.8%
EV/EBITDA$80.65+3.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$1.74B
Rev: 12.3% / EPS: 6.6%
Computed: 5.57%
Computed WACC: 5.57%
Cost of equity (Re)6.95%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.48 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.84%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)55.84%
Debt weight (D/V)44.16%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-400.27
Current Price$78.08
Upside / Downside-612.6%
Net Debt (used)$18.41B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term4.3%8.3%12.3%16.3%20.3%
7.0%$-220.69$-251.62$-287.30$-328.27$-375.10
8.0%$-190.29$-214.97$-243.41$-276.03$-313.28
9.0%$-169.32$-189.69$-213.15$-240.03$-270.70
10.0%$-153.99$-171.23$-191.06$-213.76$-239.64
11.0%$-142.31$-157.18$-174.25$-193.78$-216.02

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.53
Yahoo: $29.11

Results

Graham Number$48.08
Current Price$78.08
Margin of Safety-38.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.57%
Computed WACC: 5.57%
Cost of equity (Re)6.95%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.48 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.84%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)55.84%
Debt weight (D/V)44.16%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$78.08
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth12.3%
Historical Earnings Growth6.6%
Base FCF (TTM)-$1.74B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.28

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$46.97
Current Price$78.08
Upside / Downside-39.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.02B
Current: 14.3×
Default: $18.41B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$80.65
Current Price$78.08
Upside / Downside+3.3%
Implied EV$43.13B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$8.41B$13.41B$18.41B$23.41B$28.41B
10.3x$73.87$57.56$41.24$24.92$8.60
12.3x$93.58$77.26$60.94$44.63$28.31
14.3x$113.28$96.97$80.65$64.33$48.01
16.3x$132.99$116.67$100.35$84.04$67.72
18.3x$152.69$136.38$120.06$103.74$87.42