CMT

CMT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($19.76)
DCF$10.72-45.7%
Graham Number$20.31+2.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 17.4%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$19.76+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.20M
Rev: -19.9% / EPS: -39.1%
Computed: 5.81%
Computed WACC: 5.81%
Cost of equity (Re)6.65%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.43 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)87.38%
Debt weight (D/V)12.62%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$19.12
Current Price$19.76
Upside / Downside-3.2%
Net Debt (used)-$18.11M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$10.80$12.55$14.60$16.96$19.68
8.0%$9.25$10.67$12.31$14.20$16.39
9.0%$8.18$9.36$10.72$12.30$14.11
10.0%$7.40$8.40$9.56$10.90$12.44
11.0%$6.79$7.67$8.68$9.84$11.17

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.01
Yahoo: $18.16

Results

Graham Number$20.31
Current Price$19.76
Margin of Safety+2.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.81%
Computed WACC: 5.81%
Cost of equity (Re)6.65%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.43 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)87.38%
Debt weight (D/V)12.62%

Results

Current Price$19.76
Implied Near-term FCF Growth5.6%
Historical Revenue Growth-19.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-39.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$4.20M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$19.76
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $28.19M
Current: 5.4×
Default: -$18.11M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$19.76
Current Price$19.76
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$151.06M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.02B-$1.02B-$18.11M$981.89M$1.98B
1.4x$240.20$123.39$6.59$-110.21$-227.02
3.4x$246.78$129.98$13.18$-103.63$-220.43
5.4x$253.37$136.56$19.76$-97.04$-213.85
7.4x$259.95$143.15$26.35$-90.46$-207.26
9.4x$266.54$149.73$32.93$-83.87$-200.68