CMTL

CMTL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($5.24)
DCF$22.81+335.3%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: -9.9%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$11.54+120.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $50.74M
Rev: -4.1% / EPS: —
Computed: 3.73%
Computed WACC: 3.73%
Cost of equity (Re)9.93%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.02 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)37.55%
Debt weight (D/V)62.45%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$153.24
Current Price$5.24
Upside / Downside+2824.4%
Net Debt (used)$214.66M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$23.07$29.20$36.33$44.58$54.09
8.0%$17.68$22.61$28.34$34.96$42.59
9.0%$13.94$18.05$22.81$28.31$34.63
10.0%$11.20$14.70$18.76$23.44$28.81
11.0%$9.09$12.14$15.66$19.71$24.36

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-2.33
Yahoo: $2.89

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$5.24
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 3.73%
Computed WACC: 3.73%
Cost of equity (Re)9.93%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.02 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)37.55%
Debt weight (D/V)62.45%

Results

Current Price$5.24
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-4.1%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$50.74M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$5.24
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $34.52M
Current: 16.1×
Default: $214.66M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$11.54
Current Price$5.24
Upside / Downside+120.3%
Implied EV$556.84M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.79B-$785.34M$214.66M$1.21B$2.21B
12.1x$74.35$40.62$6.89$-26.85$-60.58
14.1x$76.68$42.95$9.21$-24.52$-58.25
16.1x$79.01$45.28$11.54$-22.19$-55.93
18.1x$81.34$47.61$13.87$-19.86$-53.60
20.1x$83.67$49.94$16.20$-17.53$-51.27