CMTV

CMTV — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($30.00)
DCF$6.75-77.5%
Graham Number$37.26+24.2%
Reverse DCF
DDM$20.19-32.7%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 14.0% / EPS: 13.9%
Computed: 9.98%
Computed WACC: 9.98%
Cost of equity (Re)5.78%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.27 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)22.54%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)65.04%
Debt weight (D/V)34.96%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$6.75
Current Price$30.00
Upside / Downside-77.5%
Net Debt (used)-$37.70M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term6.0%10.0%14.0%18.0%22.0%
7.0%$6.75$6.75$6.75$6.75$6.75
8.0%$6.75$6.75$6.75$6.75$6.75
9.0%$6.75$6.75$6.75$6.75$6.75
10.0%$6.75$6.75$6.75$6.75$6.75
11.0%$6.75$6.75$6.75$6.75$6.75

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.03
Yahoo: $20.36

Results

Graham Number$37.26
Current Price$30.00
Margin of Safety+24.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.98%
Computed WACC: 9.98%
Cost of equity (Re)5.78%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.27 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)22.54%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)65.04%
Debt weight (D/V)34.96%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$30.00
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth14.0%
Historical Earnings Growth13.9%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.98

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$20.19
Current Price$30.00
Upside / Downside-32.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: -$37.70M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$6.75
Current Price$30.00
Upside / Downside-77.5%
Implied EV$0