CNK

CNK — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($28.68)
DCF$-0.73-102.5%
Graham Number$9.12-68.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 19.6%
DDM$7.42-74.1%
EV/EBITDA$28.26-1.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $145.98M
Rev: -4.7% / EPS: -15.7%
Computed: 5.56%
Computed WACC: 5.56%
Cost of equity (Re)10.49%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.13 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)52.97%
Debt weight (D/V)47.03%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$24.52
Current Price$28.68
Upside / Downside-14.5%
Net Debt (used)$2.65B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-0.54$3.99$9.25$15.34$22.36
8.0%$-4.52$-0.88$3.35$8.24$13.87
9.0%$-7.28$-4.24$-0.73$3.33$8.00
10.0%$-9.30$-6.72$-3.72$-0.27$3.70
11.0%$-10.85$-8.61$-6.01$-3.01$0.42

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.04
Yahoo: $3.55

Results

Graham Number$9.12
Current Price$28.68
Margin of Safety-68.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.56%
Computed WACC: 5.56%
Cost of equity (Re)10.49%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.13 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)52.97%
Debt weight (D/V)47.03%

Results

Current Price$28.68
Implied Near-term FCF Growth6.3%
Historical Revenue Growth-4.7%
Historical Earnings Growth-15.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$145.98M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.36

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$7.42
Current Price$28.68
Upside / Downside-74.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $543.70M
Current: 10.9×
Default: $2.65B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$28.26
Current Price$28.68
Upside / Downside-1.5%
Implied EV$5.91B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$646.80M$1.65B$2.65B$3.65B$4.65B
6.9x$26.75$18.09$9.44$0.78$-7.88
8.9x$36.16$27.50$18.85$10.19$1.54
10.9x$45.57$36.92$28.26$19.60$10.95
12.9x$54.99$46.33$37.67$29.02$20.36
14.9x$64.40$55.74$47.09$38.43$29.77