CNM

CNM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($52.86)
DCF$32.33-38.8%
Graham Number$23.12-56.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 11.5%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$55.09+4.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $481.62M
Rev: 1.2% / EPS: 4.6%
Computed: 8.50%
Computed WACC: 8.50%
Cost of equity (Re)9.68%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.98 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.40%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)80.95%
Debt weight (D/V)19.05%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$36.11
Current Price$52.86
Upside / Downside-31.7%
Net Debt (used)$2.35B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$32.72$41.85$52.48$64.78$78.94
8.0%$24.68$32.03$40.57$50.44$61.80
9.0%$19.11$25.23$32.33$40.53$49.95
10.0%$15.02$20.24$26.29$33.27$41.27
11.0%$11.89$16.43$21.68$27.72$34.64

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.28
Yahoo: $10.42

Results

Graham Number$23.12
Current Price$52.86
Margin of Safety-56.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.50%
Computed WACC: 8.50%
Cost of equity (Re)9.68%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.98 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.40%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)80.95%
Debt weight (D/V)19.05%

Results

Current Price$52.86
Implied Near-term FCF Growth10.0%
Historical Revenue Growth1.2%
Historical Earnings Growth4.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$481.62M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$52.86
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $922.00M
Current: 13.8×
Default: $2.35B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$55.09
Current Price$52.86
Upside / Downside+4.2%
Implied EV$12.75B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$351.00M$1.35B$2.35B$3.35B$4.35B
9.8x$46.14$40.85$35.55$30.26$24.96
11.8x$55.91$50.62$45.32$40.02$34.73
13.8x$65.68$60.38$55.09$49.79$44.49
15.8x$75.45$70.15$64.85$59.56$54.26
17.8x$85.21$79.92$74.62$69.32$64.03