CNS

CNS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($68.43)
DCF$44.35-35.2%
Graham Number$27.13-60.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 12.9%
DDM$55.21-19.3%
EV/EBITDA$70.35+2.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $119.04M
Rev: 2.9% / EPS: -24.5%
Computed: 10.80%
Computed WACC: 10.80%
Cost of equity (Re)11.22%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.26 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)96.19%
Debt weight (D/V)3.81%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$35.37
Current Price$68.43
Upside / Downside-48.3%
Net Debt (used)-$172.57M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$44.71$53.06$62.79$74.04$87.00
8.0%$37.35$44.08$51.89$60.92$71.31
9.0%$32.26$37.86$44.35$51.85$60.47
10.0%$28.52$33.30$38.83$45.21$52.53
11.0%$25.65$29.81$34.61$40.13$46.47

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.97
Yahoo: $11.01

Results

Graham Number$27.13
Current Price$68.43
Margin of Safety-60.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.80%
Computed WACC: 10.80%
Cost of equity (Re)11.22%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.26 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)96.19%
Debt weight (D/V)3.81%

Results

Current Price$68.43
Implied Near-term FCF Growth17.8%
Historical Revenue Growth2.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-24.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$119.04M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.68

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$55.21
Current Price$68.43
Upside / Downside-19.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $188.05M
Current: 18.2×
Default: -$172.57M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$70.35
Current Price$68.43
Upside / Downside+2.8%
Implied EV$3.42B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.17B-$1.17B-$172.57M$827.43M$1.83B
14.2x$94.82$75.21$55.61$36.00$16.40
16.2x$102.19$82.58$62.98$43.37$23.77
18.2x$109.56$89.96$70.35$50.75$31.14
20.2x$116.94$97.33$77.73$58.12$38.52
22.2x$124.31$104.70$85.10$65.49$45.89