CODI-PA

CODI-PA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($18.89)
DCF$-37.04-296.1%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM$37.29+97.3%
EV/EBITDA$33.66+78.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$13.60M
Rev: -5.1% / EPS: —
Computed: 8.34%
Computed WACC: 8.34%
Cost of equity (Re)10.03%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.04 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)9.60%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)31.11%
Debt weight (D/V)68.89%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-37.50
Current Price$18.89
Upside / Downside-298.5%
Net Debt (used)$1.98B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-37.08$-37.89$-38.84$-39.93$-41.19
8.0%$-36.36$-37.02$-37.78$-38.65$-39.66
9.0%$-35.87$-36.41$-37.04$-37.77$-38.61
10.0%$-35.50$-35.97$-36.50$-37.13$-37.84
11.0%$-35.22$-35.63$-36.09$-36.63$-37.25

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.86
Yahoo: $-0.48

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$18.89
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.34%
Computed WACC: 8.34%
Cost of equity (Re)10.03%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.04 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)9.60%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)31.11%
Debt weight (D/V)68.89%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$18.89
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-5.1%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$13.60M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.81

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$37.29
Current Price$18.89
Upside / Downside+97.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $192.27M
Current: 20.8×
Default: $1.98B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$33.66
Current Price$18.89
Upside / Downside+78.2%
Implied EV$4.00B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.98B$1.98B$1.98B$1.98B$1.98B
16.8x$20.82$20.82$20.82$20.82$20.82
18.8x$27.24$27.24$27.24$27.24$27.24
20.8x$33.66$33.66$33.66$33.66$33.66
22.8x$40.08$40.08$40.08$40.08$40.08
24.8x$46.50$46.50$46.50$46.50$46.50