COF

COF — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($194.32)
DCF$8.54-95.6%
Graham Number$114.57-41.0%
Reverse DCF
DDM$65.92-66.1%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 51.6% / EPS: 22.2%
Computed: 7.30%
Computed WACC: 7.30%
Cost of equity (Re)10.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.12 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)69.63%
Debt weight (D/V)30.37%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$8.54
Current Price$194.32
Upside / Downside-95.6%
Net Debt (used)-$5.34B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term43.6%47.6%51.6%55.6%59.6%
7.0%$8.54$8.54$8.54$8.54$8.54
8.0%$8.54$8.54$8.54$8.54$8.54
9.0%$8.54$8.54$8.54$8.54$8.54
10.0%$8.54$8.54$8.54$8.54$8.54
11.0%$8.54$8.54$8.54$8.54$8.54

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.37
Yahoo: $173.11

Results

Graham Number$114.57
Current Price$194.32
Margin of Safety-41.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.30%
Computed WACC: 7.30%
Cost of equity (Re)10.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.12 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)69.63%
Debt weight (D/V)30.37%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$194.32
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth51.6%
Historical Earnings Growth22.2%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$65.92
Current Price$194.32
Upside / Downside-66.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: -$5.34B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$8.54
Current Price$194.32
Upside / Downside-95.6%
Implied EV$0