COFS

COFS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($29.43)
DCF$-15.02-151.0%
Graham Number$38.01+29.2%
Reverse DCF
DDM$23.90-18.8%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 79.7% / EPS: 15.7%
Computed: 4.45%
Computed WACC: 4.45%
Cost of equity (Re)7.59%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.60 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)58.53%
Debt weight (D/V)41.47%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-15.02
Current Price$29.43
Upside / Downside-151.0%
Net Debt (used)$225.26M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term71.7%75.7%79.7%83.7%87.7%
7.0%$-15.02$-15.02$-15.02$-15.02$-15.02
8.0%$-15.02$-15.02$-15.02$-15.02$-15.02
9.0%$-15.02$-15.02$-15.02$-15.02$-15.02
10.0%$-15.02$-15.02$-15.02$-15.02$-15.02
11.0%$-15.02$-15.02$-15.02$-15.02$-15.02

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.07
Yahoo: $31.02

Results

Graham Number$38.01
Current Price$29.43
Margin of Safety+29.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.45%
Computed WACC: 4.45%
Cost of equity (Re)7.59%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.60 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)58.53%
Debt weight (D/V)41.47%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$29.43
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth79.7%
Historical Earnings Growth15.7%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.16

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$23.90
Current Price$29.43
Upside / Downside-18.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $225.26M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-15.02
Current Price$29.43
Upside / Downside-151.0%
Implied EV$0