COLD

COLD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($13.05)
DCF$12.02-7.9%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 5.6%
DDM$18.95+45.2%
EV/EBITDA$13.18+1.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $443.38M
Rev: -1.2% / EPS: —
Computed: 4.13%
Computed WACC: 4.13%
Cost of equity (Re)9.11%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.87 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)45.33%
Debt weight (D/V)54.67%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$94.71
Current Price$13.05
Upside / Downside+625.8%
Net Debt (used)$4.36B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$12.26$17.83$24.31$31.82$40.46
8.0%$7.35$11.84$17.05$23.07$30.00
9.0%$3.95$7.69$12.02$17.02$22.77
10.0%$1.46$4.64$8.34$12.59$17.47
11.0%$-0.45$2.32$5.52$9.20$13.43

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.22
Yahoo: $10.13

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$13.05
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.13%
Computed WACC: 4.13%
Cost of equity (Re)9.11%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.87 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)45.33%
Debt weight (D/V)54.67%

Results

Current Price$13.05
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-13.9%
Historical Revenue Growth-1.2%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$443.38M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.92

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$18.95
Current Price$13.05
Upside / Downside+45.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $550.63M
Current: 14.7×
Default: $4.36B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$13.18
Current Price$13.05
Upside / Downside+1.0%
Implied EV$8.12B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$2.36B$3.36B$4.36B$5.36B$6.36B
10.7x$12.47$8.96$5.45$1.94$-1.57
12.7x$16.34$12.83$9.32$5.81$2.30
14.7x$20.20$16.69$13.18$9.67$6.16
16.7x$24.07$20.56$17.05$13.54$10.03
18.7x$27.94$24.43$20.91$17.40$13.89