COLL

COLL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($41.60)
DCF$784.89+1786.7%
Graham Number$18.68-55.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -13.9%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$41.79+0.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $321.54M
Rev: 12.9% / EPS: 31.5%
Computed: 4.68%
Computed WACC: 4.68%
Cost of equity (Re)8.02%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.68 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)58.41%
Debt weight (D/V)41.59%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$2784.93
Current Price$41.60
Upside / Downside+6594.5%
Net Debt (used)$549.75M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term23.5%27.5%31.5%35.5%39.5%
7.0%$899.93$1053.53$1227.33$1423.27$1643.41
8.0%$708.51$829.14$965.56$1119.29$1291.96
9.0%$577.38$675.44$786.29$911.16$1051.34
10.0%$482.32$564.05$656.39$760.36$877.04
11.0%$410.53$479.94$558.33$646.55$745.50

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.63
Yahoo: $9.51

Results

Graham Number$18.68
Current Price$41.60
Margin of Safety-55.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.68%
Computed WACC: 4.68%
Cost of equity (Re)8.02%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.68 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)58.41%
Debt weight (D/V)41.59%

Results

Current Price$41.60
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth12.9%
Historical Earnings Growth31.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$321.54M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$41.60
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $419.16M
Current: 4.5×
Default: $549.75M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$41.79
Current Price$41.60
Upside / Downside+0.5%
Implied EV$1.87B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.45B-$450.25M$549.75M$1.55B$2.55B
0.5x$52.02$20.38$-11.25$-42.89$-74.52
2.5x$78.54$46.90$15.27$-16.37$-48.00
4.5x$105.06$73.42$41.79$10.15$-21.48
6.5x$131.58$99.94$68.31$36.67$5.04
8.5x$158.10$126.46$94.83$63.19$31.56