COLM

COLM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($58.26)
DCF$56.59-2.9%
Graham Number$48.27-17.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 5.6%
DDM$24.72-57.6%
EV/EBITDA$58.46+0.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $155.87M
Rev: -2.4% / EPS: -4.3%
Computed: 7.82%
Computed WACC: 7.82%
Cost of equity (Re)8.99%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.85 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)86.98%
Debt weight (D/V)13.02%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$67.99
Current Price$58.26
Upside / Downside+16.7%
Net Debt (used)-$313.10M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$57.03$67.38$79.43$93.38$109.44
8.0%$47.91$56.25$65.93$77.13$90.00
9.0%$41.60$48.54$56.59$65.88$76.56
10.0%$36.96$42.88$49.74$57.65$66.72
11.0%$33.41$38.56$44.51$51.36$59.21

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.24
Yahoo: $31.97

Results

Graham Number$48.27
Current Price$58.26
Margin of Safety-17.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.82%
Computed WACC: 7.82%
Cost of equity (Re)8.99%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.85 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)86.98%
Debt weight (D/V)13.02%

Results

Current Price$58.26
Implied Near-term FCF Growth2.2%
Historical Revenue Growth-2.4%
Historical Earnings Growth-4.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$155.87M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$24.72
Current Price$58.26
Upside / Downside-57.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $292.87M
Current: 9.7×
Default: -$313.10M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$58.46
Current Price$58.26
Upside / Downside+0.3%
Implied EV$2.84B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.31B-$1.31B-$313.10M$686.90M$1.69B
5.7x$73.84$55.28$36.72$18.17$-0.39
7.7x$84.71$66.15$47.59$29.04$10.48
9.7x$95.58$77.02$58.46$39.91$21.35
11.7x$106.45$87.89$69.33$50.78$32.22
13.7x$117.31$98.76$80.20$61.64$43.09