COTY

COTY — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($2.43)
DCF$4.39+80.6%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: -0.1%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$2.94+21.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $381.14M
Rev: 0.5% / EPS: —
Computed: 3.67%
Computed WACC: 3.67%
Cost of equity (Re)9.28%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.91 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)39.59%
Debt weight (D/V)60.41%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$39.48
Current Price$2.43
Upside / Downside+1523.9%
Net Debt (used)$2.83B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$4.46$6.01$7.81$9.90$12.30
8.0%$3.09$4.34$5.79$7.47$9.39
9.0%$2.15$3.19$4.39$5.78$7.38
10.0%$1.45$2.34$3.37$4.55$5.91
11.0%$0.92$1.69$2.58$3.61$4.78

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.62
Yahoo: $4.02

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$2.43
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 3.67%
Computed WACC: 3.67%
Cost of equity (Re)9.28%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.91 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)39.59%
Debt weight (D/V)60.41%

Results

Current Price$2.43
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth0.5%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$381.14M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$2.43
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $804.60M
Current: 6.7×
Default: $2.83B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$2.94
Current Price$2.43
Upside / Downside+21.1%
Implied EV$5.42B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$827.10M$1.83B$2.83B$3.83B$4.83B
2.7x$1.56$0.42$-0.71$-1.85$-2.99
4.7x$3.39$2.25$1.12$-0.02$-1.16
6.7x$5.22$4.08$2.94$1.81$0.67
8.7x$7.05$5.91$4.77$3.64$2.50
10.7x$8.87$7.74$6.60$5.47$4.33