CP

CP — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($89.39)
DCF$13.04-85.4%
Graham Number$53.17-40.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 23.9%
DDM$13.60-84.8%
EV/EBITDA$90.47+1.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.00B
Rev: 1.3% / EPS: -7.4%
Computed: 8.31%
Computed WACC: 8.31%
Cost of equity (Re)10.76%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.17 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)77.28%
Debt weight (D/V)22.72%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$17.74
Current Price$89.39
Upside / Downside-80.2%
Net Debt (used)$23.41B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$13.38$21.36$30.64$41.38$53.76
8.0%$6.36$12.78$20.24$28.86$38.78
9.0%$1.49$6.84$13.04$20.20$28.43
10.0%$-2.08$2.48$7.77$13.86$20.85
11.0%$-4.82$-0.85$3.73$9.01$15.06

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.36
Yahoo: $37.39

Results

Graham Number$53.17
Current Price$89.39
Margin of Safety-40.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.31%
Computed WACC: 8.31%
Cost of equity (Re)10.76%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.17 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)77.28%
Debt weight (D/V)22.72%

Results

Current Price$89.39
Implied Near-term FCF Growth21.5%
Historical Revenue Growth1.3%
Historical Earnings Growth-7.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$2.00B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.66

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$13.60
Current Price$89.39
Upside / Downside-84.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $8.11B
Current: 12.9×
Default: $23.41B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$90.47
Current Price$89.39
Upside / Downside+1.2%
Implied EV$104.63B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$11.41B$17.41B$23.41B$29.41B$35.41B
8.9x$67.68$60.99$54.31$47.62$40.94
10.9x$85.76$79.07$72.39$65.70$59.02
12.9x$103.83$97.15$90.47$83.78$77.10
14.9x$121.91$115.23$108.55$101.86$95.18
16.9x$139.99$133.31$126.63$119.94$113.26