CPB

CPB — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($26.32)
DCF$13.18-49.9%
Graham Number$24.08-8.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 10.2%
DDM$32.14+22.1%
EV/EBITDA$26.33+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $630.50M
Rev: -3.4% / EPS: -9.7%
Computed: 4.34%
Computed WACC: 4.34%
Cost of equity (Re)4.10%(Rf 4.30% + β -0.04 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.82%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)51.78%
Debt weight (D/V)48.22%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$108.41
Current Price$26.32
Upside / Downside+311.9%
Net Debt (used)$7.14B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$13.50$21.07$29.88$40.08$51.82
8.0%$6.84$12.93$20.01$28.20$37.61
9.0%$2.22$7.30$13.18$19.98$27.79
10.0%$-1.17$3.16$8.18$13.96$20.59
11.0%$-3.76$-0.00$4.35$9.36$15.10

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.94
Yahoo: $13.28

Results

Graham Number$24.08
Current Price$26.32
Margin of Safety-8.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.34%
Computed WACC: 4.34%
Cost of equity (Re)4.10%(Rf 4.30% + β -0.04 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.82%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)51.78%
Debt weight (D/V)48.22%

Results

Current Price$26.32
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-8.8%
Historical Revenue Growth-3.4%
Historical Earnings Growth-9.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$630.50M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.56

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$32.14
Current Price$26.32
Upside / Downside+22.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.83B
Current: 8.2×
Default: $7.14B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$26.33
Current Price$26.32
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$14.99B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$3.14B$5.14B$7.14B$9.14B$11.14B
4.2x$15.14$8.43$1.72$-4.99$-11.70
6.2x$27.44$20.73$14.02$7.31$0.61
8.2x$39.74$33.03$26.33$19.62$12.91
10.2x$52.05$45.34$38.63$31.92$25.21
12.2x$64.35$57.64$50.93$44.22$37.51