CPHC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($15.51)
DCF	$-7.13	-146.0%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	$5.77	-62.8%
EV/EBITDA	$15.51	-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$3.02M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -5.0% / EPS: -76.0%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 1.87%

Computed WACC: 1.87%

Cost of equity (Re)1.87%(Rf 4.30% + β -0.44 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.84%

Debt weight (D/V)0.16%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$15.51

Upside / Downside—

Net Debt (used)-$16.58M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-7.22	$-9.34	$-11.80	$-14.65	$-17.94
8.0%	$-5.36	$-7.06	$-9.04	$-11.33	$-13.96
9.0%	$-4.07	$-5.48	$-7.13	$-9.03	$-11.21
10.0%	$-3.12	$-4.33	$-5.73	$-7.35	$-9.20
11.0%	$-2.39	$-3.44	$-4.66	$-6.06	$-7.67

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.28

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $16.50

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$15.51

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 1.87%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 1.87%

Cost of equity (Re)1.87%(Rf 4.30% + β -0.44 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.84%

Debt weight (D/V)0.16%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$15.51

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth-5.0%

Historical Earnings Growth-76.0%

Base FCF (TTM)-$3.02M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $0.28

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$5.77

Current Price$15.51

Upside / Downside-62.8%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $5.97M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 10.5×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$16.58M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$15.51

Current Price$15.51

Upside / Downside-0.0%

Implied EV$62.51M

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$2.02B	-$1.02B	-$16.58M	$983.42M	$1.98B
6.5x	$403.04	$206.93	$10.82	$-185.28	$-381.39
8.5x	$405.38	$209.27	$13.17	$-182.94	$-379.05
10.5x	$407.72	$211.62	$15.51	$-180.60	$-376.70
12.5x	$410.07	$213.96	$17.85	$-178.25	$-374.36
14.5x	$412.41	$216.30	$20.20	$-175.91	$-372.02

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