CPK

CPK — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($137.21)
DCF$-474.39-445.7%
Graham Number$92.05-32.9%
Reverse DCF
DDM$56.44-58.9%
EV/EBITDA$138.86+1.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$216.02M
Rev: 20.4% / EPS: 21.1%
Computed: 7.02%
Computed WACC: 7.02%
Cost of equity (Re)8.50%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.76 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.18%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)66.60%
Debt weight (D/V)33.40%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-680.24
Current Price$137.21
Upside / Downside-595.8%
Net Debt (used)$1.63B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term13.1%17.1%21.1%25.1%29.1%
7.0%$-511.73$-591.78$-683.27$-787.39$-905.41
8.0%$-423.33$-486.69$-559.04$-641.32$-734.54
9.0%$-362.57$-414.46$-473.68$-540.99$-617.19
10.0%$-318.35$-361.93$-411.62$-468.05$-531.91
11.0%$-284.82$-322.10$-364.58$-412.80$-467.32

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.63
Yahoo: $66.89

Results

Graham Number$92.05
Current Price$137.21
Margin of Safety-32.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.02%
Computed WACC: 7.02%
Cost of equity (Re)8.50%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.76 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.18%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)66.60%
Debt weight (D/V)33.40%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$137.21
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth20.4%
Historical Earnings Growth21.1%
Base FCF (TTM)-$216.02M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.74

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$56.44
Current Price$137.21
Upside / Downside-58.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $364.70M
Current: 13.5×
Default: $1.63B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$138.86
Current Price$137.21
Upside / Downside+1.2%
Implied EV$4.91B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.63B$1.63B$1.63B$1.63B$1.63B
9.5x$77.18$77.18$77.18$77.18$77.18
11.5x$108.02$108.02$108.02$108.02$108.02
13.5x$138.86$138.86$138.86$138.86$138.86
15.5x$169.70$169.70$169.70$169.70$169.70
17.5x$200.54$200.54$200.54$200.54$200.54