CPSS

CPSS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($8.16)
DCF$-156.08-2012.8%
Graham Number$15.81+93.8%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 9.3% / EPS: 0.0%
Computed: 4.67%
Computed WACC: 4.67%
Cost of equity (Re)10.24%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.08 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.54%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)4.99%
Debt weight (D/V)95.01%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-156.08
Current Price$8.16
Upside / Downside-2012.8%
Net Debt (used)$3.44B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1.3%5.3%9.3%13.3%17.3%
7.0%$-156.08$-156.08$-156.08$-156.08$-156.08
8.0%$-156.08$-156.08$-156.08$-156.08$-156.08
9.0%$-156.08$-156.08$-156.08$-156.08$-156.08
10.0%$-156.08$-156.08$-156.08$-156.08$-156.08
11.0%$-156.08$-156.08$-156.08$-156.08$-156.08

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.80
Yahoo: $13.89

Results

Graham Number$15.81
Current Price$8.16
Margin of Safety+93.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.67%
Computed WACC: 4.67%
Cost of equity (Re)10.24%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.08 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.54%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)4.99%
Debt weight (D/V)95.01%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$8.16
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth9.3%
Historical Earnings Growth0.0%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$8.16
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $3.44B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-156.08
Current Price$8.16
Upside / Downside-2012.8%
Implied EV$0