CR

CR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($204.32)
DCF$-274.61-234.4%
Graham Number$67.50-67.0%
Reverse DCF
DDM$19.57-90.4%
EV/EBITDA$204.63+0.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$774.30M
Rev: 6.8% / EPS: 0.2%
Computed: 9.54%
Computed WACC: 9.54%
Cost of equity (Re)10.52%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.13 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.63%
Debt weight (D/V)9.37%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-253.87
Current Price$204.32
Upside / Downside-224.3%
Net Debt (used)$709.70M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-1.2%2.8%6.8%10.8%14.8%
7.0%$-279.55$-332.96$-394.98$-466.60$-548.94
8.0%$-231.19$-274.08$-323.81$-381.17$-447.05
9.0%$-197.71$-233.35$-274.61$-322.14$-376.67
10.0%$-173.17$-203.51$-238.58$-278.94$-325.19
11.0%$-154.41$-180.71$-211.08$-245.98$-285.94

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.66
Yahoo: $35.78

Results

Graham Number$67.50
Current Price$204.32
Margin of Safety-67.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.54%
Computed WACC: 9.54%
Cost of equity (Re)10.52%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.13 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.63%
Debt weight (D/V)9.37%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$204.32
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth6.8%
Historical Earnings Growth0.2%
Base FCF (TTM)-$774.30M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.95

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$19.57
Current Price$204.32
Upside / Downside-90.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $459.90M
Current: 27.2×
Default: $709.70M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$204.63
Current Price$204.32
Upside / Downside+0.2%
Implied EV$12.50B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.29B-$290.30M$709.70M$1.71B$2.71B
23.2x$207.42$190.06$172.69$155.33$137.97
25.2x$223.39$206.03$188.66$171.30$153.94
27.2x$239.36$222.00$204.63$187.27$169.91
29.2x$255.33$237.96$220.60$203.24$185.88
31.2x$271.30$253.93$236.57$219.21$201.85