CRAI

CRAI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($182.90)
DCF$313.86+71.6%
Graham Number$78.19-57.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 3.0%
DDM$46.97-74.3%
EV/EBITDA$180.37-1.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $84.04M
Rev: 11.6% / EPS: -9.1%
Computed: 8.01%
Computed WACC: 8.01%
Cost of equity (Re)8.85%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.83 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.44%
Debt weight (D/V)9.56%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$378.00
Current Price$182.90
Upside / Downside+106.7%
Net Debt (used)$109.02M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term3.6%7.6%11.6%15.6%19.6%
7.0%$328.85$395.70$472.88$561.56$663.00
8.0%$263.82$317.20$378.76$449.43$530.19
9.0%$218.93$263.04$313.86$372.12$438.66
10.0%$186.12$223.47$266.46$315.70$371.88
11.0%$161.11$193.33$230.37$272.77$321.08

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $8.33
Yahoo: $32.62

Results

Graham Number$78.19
Current Price$182.90
Margin of Safety-57.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.01%
Computed WACC: 8.01%
Cost of equity (Re)8.85%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.83 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.44%
Debt weight (D/V)9.56%

Results

Current Price$182.90
Implied Near-term FCF Growth0.3%
Historical Revenue Growth11.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-9.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$84.04M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.28

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$46.97
Current Price$182.90
Upside / Downside-74.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $97.26M
Current: 13.3×
Default: $109.02M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$180.37
Current Price$182.90
Upside / Downside-1.4%
Implied EV$1.29B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.89B-$890.98M$109.02M$1.11B$2.11B
9.3x$425.85$273.47$121.08$-31.31$-183.69
11.3x$455.50$303.11$150.72$-1.66$-154.05
13.3x$485.14$332.75$180.37$27.98$-124.41
15.3x$514.78$362.40$210.01$57.62$-94.76
17.3x$544.43$392.04$239.65$87.27$-65.12