CRC

CRC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($61.51)
DCF$92.22+49.9%
Graham Number$63.52+3.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -1.1%
DDM$33.37-45.7%
EV/EBITDA$55.16-10.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $520.62M
Rev: -11.9% / EPS: -79.9%
Computed: 9.91%
Computed WACC: 9.91%
Cost of equity (Re)10.51%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.13 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)8.78%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)83.32%
Debt weight (D/V)16.68%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$79.51
Current Price$61.51
Upside / Downside+29.3%
Net Debt (used)$904.00M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$93.10$113.97$138.25$166.36$198.73
8.0%$74.73$91.53$111.05$133.60$159.55
9.0%$62.00$75.99$92.22$110.95$132.47
10.0%$52.66$64.59$78.42$94.35$112.64
11.0%$45.51$55.88$67.87$81.67$97.50

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.36
Yahoo: $41.13

Results

Graham Number$63.52
Current Price$61.51
Margin of Safety+3.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.91%
Computed WACC: 9.91%
Cost of equity (Re)10.51%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.13 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)8.78%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)83.32%
Debt weight (D/V)16.68%

Results

Current Price$61.51
Implied Near-term FCF Growth1.1%
Historical Revenue Growth-11.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-79.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$520.62M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.62

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$33.37
Current Price$61.51
Upside / Downside-45.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.17B
Current: 5.0×
Default: $904.00M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$55.16
Current Price$61.51
Upside / Downside-10.3%
Implied EV$5.83B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.10B-$96.00M$904.00M$1.90B$2.90B
1.0x$25.33$14.13$2.93$-8.26$-19.46
3.0x$51.44$40.24$29.04$17.85$6.65
5.0x$77.55$66.35$55.16$43.96$32.76
7.0x$103.66$92.46$81.27$70.07$58.87
9.0x$129.77$118.57$107.38$96.18$84.98