CRD-A

CRD-A — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($10.94)
DCF$97.47+791.0%
Graham Number$7.45-31.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 0.2%
DDM$6.18-43.5%
EV/EBITDA$17.84+63.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $42.66M
Rev: -2.2% / EPS: 30.4%
Computed: 7.24%
Computed WACC: 7.24%
Cost of equity (Re)8.11%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.69 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.22%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)63.79%
Debt weight (D/V)36.21%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$145.43
Current Price$10.94
Upside / Downside+1229.3%
Net Debt (used)$236.79M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term22.4%26.4%30.4%34.4%38.4%
7.0%$111.86$132.07$154.96$180.79$209.83
8.0%$86.98$102.86$120.84$141.12$163.92
9.0%$69.93$82.85$97.47$113.96$132.48
10.0%$57.57$68.34$80.53$94.27$109.69
11.0%$48.23$57.39$67.74$79.40$92.49

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.65
Yahoo: $3.79

Results

Graham Number$7.45
Current Price$10.94
Margin of Safety-31.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.24%
Computed WACC: 7.24%
Cost of equity (Re)8.11%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.69 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.22%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)63.79%
Debt weight (D/V)36.21%

Results

Current Price$10.94
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-4.6%
Historical Revenue Growth-2.2%
Historical Earnings Growth30.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$42.66M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.30

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$6.18
Current Price$10.94
Upside / Downside-43.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $84.45M
Current: 9.2×
Default: $236.79M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$17.84
Current Price$10.94
Upside / Downside+63.0%
Implied EV$773.48M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.76B-$763.21M$236.79M$1.24B$2.24B
5.2x$73.07$39.84$6.61$-26.62$-59.85
7.2x$78.69$45.45$12.22$-21.01$-54.24
9.2x$84.30$51.07$17.84$-15.40$-48.63
11.2x$89.91$56.68$23.45$-9.78$-43.02
13.2x$95.52$62.29$29.06$-4.17$-37.40