CRDF — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($1.94)
DCF	$-101.66	-5340.3%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$19.62M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 60.9% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 11.61%

Computed WACC: 11.61%

Cost of equity (Re)11.69%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.34 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.37%

Debt weight (D/V)0.63%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-63.35

Current Price$1.94

Upside / Downside-3365.4%

Net Debt (used)-$57.47M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	52.9%	56.9%	60.9%	64.9%	68.9%
7.0%	$-126.53	$-143.91	$-163.14	$-184.37	$-207.75
8.0%	$-98.11	$-111.57	$-126.46	$-142.91	$-161.01
9.0%	$-78.74	$-89.54	$-101.49	$-114.67	$-129.19
10.0%	$-64.80	$-73.68	$-83.50	$-94.34	$-106.27
11.0%	$-54.34	$-61.78	$-70.01	$-79.09	$-89.08

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.79

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $0.66

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$1.94

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 11.61%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 11.61%

Cost of equity (Re)11.69%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.34 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.37%

Debt weight (D/V)0.63%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$1.94

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth60.9%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$19.62M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$1.94

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$48.60M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -1.5×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$57.47M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1.97

Current Price$1.94

Upside / Downside+1.5%

Implied EV$75.18M

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