CRESY

CRESY — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($10.89)
DCF$-198818.34-1825796.4%
Graham Number$7.66-29.7%
Reverse DCF
DDM$12.98+19.2%
EV/EBITDA$23475.51+215469.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$190.00B
Rev: 26.6% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-198818.34
Current Price$10.89
Upside / Downside-1825796.4%
Net Debt (used)$1.33T
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term18.6%22.6%26.6%30.6%34.6%
7.0%$-220170.04$-254805.33$-294172.81$-338745.73$-389028.01
8.0%$-179314.77$-206606.38$-237608.94$-272692.63$-312251.59
9.0%$-151284.87$-173545.62$-198818.34$-227402.72$-259617.81
10.0%$-130932.62$-149546.70$-170666.63$-194541.09$-221434.78
11.0%$-115534.16$-131394.43$-149378.81$-169697.50$-192574.28

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.09
Yahoo: $1.25

Results

Graham Number$7.66
Current Price$10.89
Margin of Safety-29.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$10.89
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth26.6%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$190.00B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.63

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$12.98
Current Price$10.89
Upside / Downside+19.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $206.79B
Current: 13.7×
Default: $1.33T

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$23475.51
Current Price$10.89
Upside / Downside+215469.4%
Implied EV$2.84T
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$663.16B$995.16B$1.33T$1.66T$1.99T
9.7x$20939.60$15779.51$10619.42$5459.32$299.23
11.7x$27367.65$22207.55$17047.46$11887.37$6727.28
13.7x$33795.69$28635.60$23475.51$18315.41$13155.32
15.7x$40223.74$35063.65$29903.55$24743.46$19583.37
17.7x$46651.78$41491.69$36331.60$31171.51$26011.41