CRGY

CRGY — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($11.10)
DCF$-56.43-608.6%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM$9.89-10.9%
EV/EBITDA$12.01+8.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$740.88M
Rev: -1.2% / EPS: —
Computed: 4.27%
Computed WACC: 4.27%
Cost of equity (Re)10.76%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.18 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)39.71%
Debt weight (D/V)60.29%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-163.63
Current Price$11.10
Upside / Downside-1574.8%
Net Debt (used)$5.52B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-56.77$-64.84$-74.24$-85.12$-97.65
8.0%$-49.66$-56.16$-63.71$-72.44$-82.49
9.0%$-44.73$-50.15$-56.43$-63.67$-72.00
10.0%$-41.12$-45.73$-51.08$-57.25$-64.33
11.0%$-38.35$-42.36$-47.00$-52.34$-58.47

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.31
Yahoo: $15.73

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$11.10
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.27%
Computed WACC: 4.27%
Cost of equity (Re)10.76%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.18 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)39.71%
Debt weight (D/V)60.29%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$11.10
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-1.2%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$740.88M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.48

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$9.89
Current Price$11.10
Upside / Downside-10.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.91B
Current: 5.0×
Default: $5.52B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$12.01
Current Price$11.10
Upside / Downside+8.3%
Implied EV$9.47B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$3.52B$4.52B$5.52B$6.52B$7.52B
1.0x$-5.12$-8.16$-11.21$-14.25$-17.30
3.0x$6.49$3.45$0.40$-2.64$-5.69
5.0x$18.10$15.06$12.01$8.97$5.92
7.0x$29.72$26.67$23.63$20.58$17.53
9.0x$41.33$38.28$35.24$32.19$29.15