CRM

CRM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($192.27)
DCF$658.61+242.5%
Graham Number$103.31-46.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -2.7%
DDM$36.26-81.1%
EV/EBITDA$194.37+1.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $16.86B
Rev: 12.1% / EPS: 17.9%
Computed: 10.55%
Computed WACC: 10.55%
Cost of equity (Re)11.32%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.28 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.05%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)91.42%
Debt weight (D/V)8.58%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$513.35
Current Price$192.27
Upside / Downside+167.0%
Net Debt (used)$7.61B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term9.9%13.9%17.9%21.9%25.9%
7.0%$709.47$842.22$994.42$1168.18$1365.72
8.0%$568.75$674.10$794.79$932.46$1088.87
9.0%$471.89$558.42$657.47$770.37$898.55
10.0%$401.31$474.16$557.48$652.38$760.05
11.0%$347.71$410.20$481.61$562.88$655.02

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $7.50
Yahoo: $63.25

Results

Graham Number$103.31
Current Price$192.27
Margin of Safety-46.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.55%
Computed WACC: 10.55%
Cost of equity (Re)11.32%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.28 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.05%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)91.42%
Debt weight (D/V)8.58%

Results

Current Price$192.27
Implied Near-term FCF Growth0.8%
Historical Revenue Growth12.1%
Historical Earnings Growth17.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$16.86B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.76

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$36.26
Current Price$192.27
Upside / Downside-81.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $12.55B
Current: 15.1×
Default: $7.61B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$194.37
Current Price$192.27
Upside / Downside+1.1%
Implied EV$189.74B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$3.61B$5.61B$7.61B$9.61B$11.61B
11.1x$145.08$142.94$140.81$138.67$136.54
13.1x$171.86$169.72$167.59$165.45$163.32
15.1x$198.64$196.51$194.37$192.24$190.10
17.1x$225.43$223.29$221.16$219.02$216.89
19.1x$252.21$250.07$247.94$245.81$243.67