CSGP

CSGP — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($45.17)
DCF$21.96-51.4%
Graham Number$5.19-88.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 40.9%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$44.29-1.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $143.75M
Rev: 26.9% / EPS: -25.9%
Computed: 8.69%
Computed WACC: 8.69%
Cost of equity (Re)8.97%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.85 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.91%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)94.36%
Debt weight (D/V)5.64%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$23.25
Current Price$45.17
Upside / Downside-48.5%
Net Debt (used)-$489.00M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term18.9%22.9%26.9%30.9%34.9%
7.0%$24.53$28.57$33.18$38.38$44.25
8.0%$19.73$22.92$26.54$30.64$35.26
9.0%$16.45$19.05$22.00$25.34$29.10
10.0%$14.06$16.23$18.70$21.49$24.62
11.0%$12.25$14.11$16.20$18.58$21.25

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.06
Yahoo: $19.94

Results

Graham Number$5.19
Current Price$45.17
Margin of Safety-88.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.69%
Computed WACC: 8.69%
Cost of equity (Re)8.97%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.85 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.91%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)94.36%
Debt weight (D/V)5.64%

Results

Current Price$45.17
Implied Near-term FCF Growth39.7%
Historical Revenue Growth26.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-25.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$143.75M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$45.17
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $209.00M
Current: 87.5×
Default: -$489.00M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$44.29
Current Price$45.17
Upside / Downside-1.9%
Implied EV$18.28B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.49B-$1.49B-$489.00M$511.00M$1.51B
83.5x$47.04$44.68$42.32$39.96$37.60
85.5x$48.03$45.67$43.31$40.95$38.59
87.5x$49.01$46.65$44.29$41.93$39.57
89.5x$50.00$47.64$45.28$42.92$40.56
91.5x$50.98$48.62$46.27$43.91$41.55