CSGS

CSGS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($79.83)
DCF$118.14+48.0%
Graham Number$21.41-73.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -0.8%
DDM$28.02-64.9%
EV/EBITDA$78.00-2.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $213.51M
Rev: 2.0% / EPS: -79.9%
Computed: 7.30%
Computed WACC: 7.30%
Cost of equity (Re)9.15%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.88 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)79.79%
Debt weight (D/V)20.21%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$165.50
Current Price$79.83
Upside / Downside+107.3%
Net Debt (used)$396.83M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$119.28$146.23$177.58$213.86$255.66
8.0%$95.56$117.25$142.45$171.57$205.08
9.0%$79.13$97.19$118.14$142.32$170.11
10.0%$67.07$82.48$100.32$120.89$144.50
11.0%$57.83$71.22$86.70$104.53$124.96

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.98
Yahoo: $10.29

Results

Graham Number$21.41
Current Price$79.83
Margin of Safety-73.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.30%
Computed WACC: 7.30%
Cost of equity (Re)9.15%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.88 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)79.79%
Debt weight (D/V)20.21%

Results

Current Price$79.83
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-5.4%
Historical Revenue Growth2.0%
Historical Earnings Growth-79.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$213.51M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.36

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$28.02
Current Price$79.83
Upside / Downside-64.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $193.35M
Current: 13.5×
Default: $396.83M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$78.00
Current Price$79.83
Upside / Downside-2.3%
Implied EV$2.61B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.60B-$603.17M$396.83M$1.40B$2.40B
9.5x$121.24$85.99$50.74$15.49$-19.75
11.5x$134.87$99.62$64.37$29.13$-6.12
13.5x$148.50$113.25$78.00$42.76$7.51
15.5x$162.13$126.88$91.63$56.39$21.14
17.5x$175.76$140.51$105.27$70.02$34.77