CSL

CSL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($393.73)
DCF$275.17-30.1%
Graham Number$130.21-66.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 10.4%
DDM$88.58-77.5%
EV/EBITDA$392.82-0.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $749.57M
Rev: 0.4% / EPS: -14.6%
Computed: 8.00%
Computed WACC: 8.00%
Cost of equity (Re)9.46%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.94 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)84.48%
Debt weight (D/V)15.52%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$334.39
Current Price$393.73
Upside / Downside-15.1%
Net Debt (used)$1.91B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$277.93$343.58$419.96$508.36$610.17
8.0%$220.16$273.00$334.39$405.33$486.95
9.0%$180.13$224.13$275.17$334.07$401.76
10.0%$150.75$188.28$231.76$281.87$339.39
11.0%$128.25$160.86$198.57$241.99$291.77

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $17.17
Yahoo: $43.89

Results

Graham Number$130.21
Current Price$393.73
Margin of Safety-66.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.00%
Computed WACC: 8.00%
Cost of equity (Re)9.46%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.94 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)84.48%
Debt weight (D/V)15.52%

Results

Current Price$393.73
Implied Near-term FCF Growth7.4%
Historical Revenue Growth0.4%
Historical Earnings Growth-14.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$749.57M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.30

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$88.58
Current Price$393.73
Upside / Downside-77.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.20B
Current: 15.0×
Default: $1.91B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$392.82
Current Price$393.73
Upside / Downside-0.2%
Implied EV$17.97B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.91B$1.91B$1.91B$1.91B$1.91B
11.0x$275.46$275.46$275.46$275.46$275.46
13.0x$334.14$334.14$334.14$334.14$334.14
15.0x$392.82$392.82$392.82$392.82$392.82
17.0x$451.51$451.51$451.51$451.51$451.51
19.0x$510.19$510.19$510.19$510.19$510.19