CTA-PA

CTA-PA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($55.99)
DCF$65.35+16.7%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 2.3%
DDM$72.10+28.8%
EV/EBITDA$55.10-1.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.12B
Rev: -1.7% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$65.35
Current Price$55.99
Upside / Downside+16.7%
Net Debt (used)-$1.95B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$65.90$78.77$93.74$111.07$131.03
8.0%$54.57$64.93$76.96$90.87$106.88
9.0%$46.72$55.35$65.35$76.90$90.17
10.0%$40.96$48.32$56.84$66.67$77.94
11.0%$36.55$42.94$50.34$58.85$68.61

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: —
Yahoo: —

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$55.99
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$55.99
Implied Near-term FCF Growth2.3%
Historical Revenue Growth-1.7%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$3.12B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.50

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$72.10
Current Price$55.99
Upside / Downside+28.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.82B
Current: —×
Default: -$1.95B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$55.10
Current Price$55.99
Upside / Downside-1.6%
Implied EV$45.86B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.95B-$1.95B-$1.95B-$1.95B-$1.95B
8.0x$37.48$37.48$37.48$37.48$37.48
10.0x$46.29$46.29$46.29$46.29$46.29
12.0x$55.10$55.10$55.10$55.10$55.10
14.0x$63.91$63.91$63.91$63.91$63.91
16.0x$72.71$72.71$72.71$72.71$72.71