CTLP — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($10.48)
DCF	$6.19	-41.0%
Graham Number	$7.50	-28.5%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 16.0%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$10.48	-0.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $23.08M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 6.8% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 9.70%

Computed WACC: 9.70%

Cost of equity (Re)10.29%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.09 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)94.28%

Debt weight (D/V)5.72%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$5.58

Current Price$10.48

Upside / Downside-46.8%

Net Debt (used)-$6.06M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-1.2%	2.8%	6.8%	10.8%	14.8%
7.0%	$6.30	$7.55	$8.99	$10.66	$12.58
8.0%	$5.18	$6.18	$7.34	$8.67	$10.21
9.0%	$4.40	$5.23	$6.19	$7.30	$8.57
10.0%	$3.83	$4.53	$5.35	$6.29	$7.37
11.0%	$3.39	$4.00	$4.71	$5.52	$6.45

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $0.73

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $3.42

Results

Graham Number$7.50

Current Price$10.48

Margin of Safety-28.5%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 9.70%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 9.70%

Cost of equity (Re)10.29%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.09 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)94.28%

Debt weight (D/V)5.72%

Results

Current Price$10.48

Implied Near-term FCF Growth18.0%

Historical Revenue Growth6.8%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$23.08M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$10.48

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $47.05M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 16.3×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$6.06M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$10.48

Current Price$10.48

Upside / Downside-0.1%

Implied EV$766.29M

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$2.01B	-$1.01B	-$6.06M	$993.94M	$1.99B
12.3x	$35.05	$21.49	$7.92	$-5.64	$-19.21
14.3x	$36.33	$22.77	$9.20	$-4.36	$-17.93
16.3x	$37.61	$24.04	$10.48	$-3.09	$-16.65
18.3x	$38.88	$25.32	$11.75	$-1.81	$-15.38
20.3x	$40.16	$26.59	$13.03	$-0.54	$-14.10

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