CTO

CTO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($19.64)
DCF$-0.62-103.1%
Graham Number$5.62-71.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 20.3%
DDM$31.31+59.4%
EV/EBITDA$19.64+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $29.39M
Rev: 7.3% / EPS: —
Computed: 5.76%
Computed WACC: 5.76%
Cost of equity (Re)7.71%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.62 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.74%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)50.77%
Debt weight (D/V)49.23%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$18.04
Current Price$19.64
Upside / Downside-8.1%
Net Debt (used)$610.51M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-0.7%3.3%7.3%11.3%15.3%
7.0%$-0.26$3.43$7.70$12.64$18.30
8.0%$-3.62$-0.66$2.77$6.72$11.25
9.0%$-5.94$-3.49$-0.65$2.63$6.38
10.0%$-7.65$-5.56$-3.14$-0.37$2.81
11.0%$-8.95$-7.14$-5.05$-2.65$0.10

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.08
Yahoo: $17.52

Results

Graham Number$5.62
Current Price$19.64
Margin of Safety-71.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.76%
Computed WACC: 5.76%
Cost of equity (Re)7.71%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.62 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.74%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)50.77%
Debt weight (D/V)49.23%

Results

Current Price$19.64
Implied Near-term FCF Growth7.9%
Historical Revenue Growth7.3%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$29.39M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.52

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$31.31
Current Price$19.64
Upside / Downside+59.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $92.02M
Current: 13.6×
Default: $610.51M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$19.64
Current Price$19.64
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$1.25B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.39B-$389.49M$610.51M$1.61B$2.61B
9.6x$69.76$39.05$8.34$-22.38$-53.09
11.6x$75.41$44.70$13.99$-16.72$-47.44
13.6x$81.07$50.35$19.64$-11.07$-41.78
15.6x$86.72$56.01$25.29$-5.42$-36.13
17.6x$92.37$61.66$30.95$0.23$-30.48