CTRE — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($40.89)
DCF	$797.32	+1849.9%
Graham Number	$25.30	-38.1%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 19.6%
DDM	$27.60	-32.5%
EV/EBITDA	$41.03	+0.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $240.69M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 55.1% / EPS: 77.1%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 8.30%

Computed WACC: 8.30%

Cost of equity (Re)8.59%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.78 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)6.77%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)91.08%

Debt weight (D/V)8.92%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$931.79

Current Price$40.89

Upside / Downside+2178.8%

Net Debt (used)$696.18M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	69.1%	73.1%	77.1%	81.1%	85.1%
7.0%	$1029.16	$1156.39	$1295.90	$1448.56	$1615.26
8.0%	$794.18	$892.30	$999.87	$1117.57	$1246.09
9.0%	$634.45	$712.77	$798.64	$892.58	$995.15
10.0%	$519.64	$583.75	$654.02	$730.89	$814.82
11.0%	$433.74	$487.20	$545.81	$609.92	$679.90

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $1.57

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $18.12

Results

Graham Number$25.30

Current Price$40.89

Margin of Safety-38.1%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 8.30%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 8.30%

Cost of equity (Re)8.59%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.78 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)6.77%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)91.08%

Debt weight (D/V)8.92%

Results

Current Price$40.89

Implied Near-term FCF Growth17.4%

Historical Revenue Growth55.1%

Historical Earnings Growth77.1%

Base FCF (TTM)$240.69M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $1.34

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$27.60

Current Price$40.89

Upside / Downside-32.5%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $407.70M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 24.2×

Net Debt($B)Default: $696.18M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$41.03

Current Price$40.89

Upside / Downside+0.3%

Implied EV$9.85B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$1.30B	-$303.82M	$696.18M	$1.70B	$2.70B
20.2x	$42.68	$38.20	$33.72	$29.24	$24.76
22.2x	$46.33	$41.85	$37.37	$32.90	$28.42
24.2x	$49.99	$45.51	$41.03	$36.55	$32.07
26.2x	$53.64	$49.16	$44.68	$40.20	$35.72
28.2x	$57.29	$52.81	$48.33	$43.85	$39.37

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