CTRN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($46.90)
DCF	$67.40	+43.7%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 5.5%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$45.02	-4.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $30.84M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 10.1% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 10.06%

Computed WACC: 10.06%

Cost of equity (Re)15.66%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.06 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)64.22%

Debt weight (D/V)35.78%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$54.50

Current Price$46.90

Upside / Downside+16.2%

Net Debt (used)$166.94M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	2.1%	6.1%	10.1%	14.1%	18.1%
7.0%	$70.82	$88.58	$109.12	$132.76	$159.84
8.0%	$53.91	$68.11	$84.52	$103.38	$124.98
9.0%	$42.23	$53.98	$67.55	$83.12	$100.93
10.0%	$33.68	$43.65	$55.14	$68.32	$83.38
11.0%	$27.16	$35.78	$45.69	$57.05	$70.02

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-1.97

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $13.54

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$46.90

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 10.06%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 10.06%

Cost of equity (Re)15.66%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.06 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)64.22%

Debt weight (D/V)35.78%

Results

Current Price$46.90

Implied Near-term FCF Growth8.2%

Historical Revenue Growth10.1%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$30.84M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$46.90

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $12.97M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 41.8×

Net Debt($B)Default: $166.94M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$45.02

Current Price$46.90

Upside / Downside-4.0%

Implied EV$542.66M

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$1.83B	-$833.06M	$166.94M	$1.17B	$2.17B
37.8x	$278.46	$158.63	$38.81	$-81.02	$-200.85
39.8x	$281.57	$161.74	$41.91	$-77.91	$-197.74
41.8x	$284.68	$164.85	$45.02	$-74.81	$-194.64
43.8x	$287.79	$167.96	$48.13	$-71.70	$-191.53
45.8x	$290.89	$171.07	$51.24	$-68.59	$-188.42

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