CVCO

CVCO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($563.12)
DCF$390.93-30.6%
Graham Number$269.29-52.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 18.0%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$563.12+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $111.74M
Rev: 11.3% / EPS: -19.1%
Computed: 11.39%
Computed WACC: 11.39%
Cost of equity (Re)11.50%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.31 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.06%
Debt weight (D/V)0.94%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$286.26
Current Price$563.12
Upside / Downside-49.2%
Net Debt (used)-$200.33M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term3.3%7.3%11.3%15.3%19.3%
7.0%$407.60$481.64$567.16$665.44$777.91
8.0%$335.86$395.00$463.23$541.56$631.12
9.0%$286.33$335.22$391.54$456.15$529.95
10.0%$250.12$291.53$339.19$393.80$456.13
11.0%$222.52$258.25$299.33$346.36$399.97

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $23.04
Yahoo: $139.88

Results

Graham Number$269.29
Current Price$563.12
Margin of Safety-52.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 11.39%
Computed WACC: 11.39%
Cost of equity (Re)11.50%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.31 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.06%
Debt weight (D/V)0.94%

Results

Current Price$563.12
Implied Near-term FCF Growth24.7%
Historical Revenue Growth11.3%
Historical Earnings Growth-19.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$111.74M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$563.12
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $251.74M
Current: 16.6×
Default: -$200.33M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$563.12
Current Price$563.12
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$4.17B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.20B-$1.20B-$200.33M$799.67M$1.80B
12.6x$691.07$562.22$433.37$304.53$175.68
14.6x$755.94$627.09$498.25$369.40$240.55
16.6x$820.81$691.97$563.12$434.27$305.43
18.6x$885.69$756.84$627.99$499.15$370.30
20.6x$950.56$821.71$692.87$564.02$435.17