CVE

CVE — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($22.88)
DCF$172290545.40+753018018.0%
Graham Number$21.09-7.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 7.3%
DDM$12.15-46.9%
EV/EBITDA$22.94+0.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.72B
Rev: -15.1% / EPS: 596.6%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$172290545.40
Current Price$22.88
Upside / Downside+753018018.0%
Net Debt (used)$11.47B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term588.6%592.6%596.6%600.6%604.6%
7.0%$275597510.83$283695602.34$291982946.85$300462842.30$309138624.71
8.0%$208092992.45$214207542.98$220464990.92$226867826.41$233418568.34
9.0%$162621995.31$167400434.20$172290545.40$177294274.94$182413591.29
10.0%$130268058.40$134095815.15$138013026.67$142021251.81$146122067.41
11.0%$106320002.54$109444074.16$112641155.35$115912518.38$119259450.22

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.61
Yahoo: $12.27

Results

Graham Number$21.09
Current Price$22.88
Margin of Safety-7.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$22.88
Implied Near-term FCF Growth7.3%
Historical Revenue Growth-15.1%
Historical Earnings Growth596.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$2.72B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.59

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$12.15
Current Price$22.88
Upside / Downside-46.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $9.53B
Current: 5.7×
Default: $11.47B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$22.94
Current Price$22.88
Upside / Downside+0.2%
Implied EV$54.57B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$5.47B$8.47B$11.47B$14.47B$17.47B
1.7x$5.85$4.26$2.66$1.07$-0.53
3.7x$15.99$14.39$12.80$11.20$9.61
5.7x$26.13$24.53$22.94$21.34$19.74
7.7x$36.27$34.67$33.07$31.48$29.88
9.7x$46.40$44.81$43.21$41.61$40.02