CVLG

CVLG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($29.71)
DCF$-79.41-367.3%
Graham Number$7.62-74.4%
Reverse DCF
DDM$5.77-80.6%
EV/EBITDA$36.63+23.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$66.87M
Rev: 6.5% / EPS: —
Computed: 8.50%
Computed WACC: 8.50%
Cost of equity (Re)10.58%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.14 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.99%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)68.72%
Debt weight (D/V)31.28%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-84.92
Current Price$29.71
Upside / Downside-385.8%
Net Debt (used)$333.75M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-1.5%2.5%6.5%10.5%14.5%
7.0%$-80.60$-93.46$-108.40$-125.66$-145.50
8.0%$-69.01$-79.34$-91.32$-105.14$-121.02
9.0%$-60.98$-69.57$-79.51$-90.97$-104.12
10.0%$-55.10$-62.41$-70.86$-80.60$-91.75
11.0%$-50.60$-56.94$-64.26$-72.68$-82.32

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.16
Yahoo: $16.11

Results

Graham Number$7.62
Current Price$29.71
Margin of Safety-74.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.50%
Computed WACC: 8.50%
Cost of equity (Re)10.58%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.14 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.99%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)68.72%
Debt weight (D/V)31.28%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$29.71
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth6.5%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$66.87M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.28

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$5.77
Current Price$29.71
Upside / Downside-80.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $116.03M
Current: 9.3×
Default: $333.75M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$36.63
Current Price$29.71
Upside / Downside+23.3%
Implied EV$1.08B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.67B-$666.25M$333.75M$1.33B$2.33B
5.3x$112.11$62.96$13.82$-35.33$-84.48
7.3x$123.51$74.37$25.22$-23.93$-73.07
9.3x$134.92$85.77$36.63$-12.52$-61.67
11.3x$146.32$97.18$48.03$-1.12$-50.26
13.3x$157.73$108.58$59.44$10.29$-38.86