CVR

CVR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($13.92)
DCF$-7.23-151.9%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM$2.47-82.2%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$424,362
Rev: 5.6% / EPS: —
Computed: 4.62%
Computed WACC: 4.62%
Cost of equity (Re)4.95%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.12 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)93.41%
Debt weight (D/V)6.59%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-24.06
Current Price$13.92
Upside / Downside-272.9%
Net Debt (used)-$734,575
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-2.4%1.6%5.6%9.6%13.6%
7.0%$-7.32$-8.95$-10.85$-13.03$-15.56
8.0%$-5.88$-7.19$-8.71$-10.46$-12.48
9.0%$-4.87$-5.96$-7.23$-8.68$-10.36
10.0%$-4.14$-5.07$-6.14$-7.38$-8.80
11.0%$-3.58$-4.38$-5.32$-6.39$-7.62

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-3.66
Yahoo: $20.72

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$13.92
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.62%
Computed WACC: 4.62%
Cost of equity (Re)4.95%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.12 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)93.41%
Debt weight (D/V)6.59%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$13.92
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth5.6%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$424,362
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.12

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$2.47
Current Price$13.92
Upside / Downside-82.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$2.64M
Current: -4.8×
Default: -$734,575

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$13.92
Current Price$13.92
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$12.71M