CWEN

CWEN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($38.08)
DCF$0.45-98.8%
Graham Number$22.76-40.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 26.5%
DDM$37.08-2.6%
EV/EBITDA$99.59+161.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $207.88M
Rev: 21.1% / EPS: —
Computed: 5.78%
Computed WACC: 5.78%
Cost of equity (Re)9.75%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.99 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.87%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)32.78%
Debt weight (D/V)67.22%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$123.08
Current Price$38.08
Upside / Downside+223.2%
Net Debt (used)$9.19B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term13.1%17.1%21.1%25.1%29.1%
7.0%$10.30$31.41$55.54$83.00$114.13
8.0%$-13.02$3.69$22.78$44.48$69.06
9.0%$-29.04$-15.35$0.26$18.02$38.11
10.0%$-40.70$-29.21$-16.10$-1.22$15.62
11.0%$-49.55$-39.71$-28.51$-15.79$-1.42

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.43
Yahoo: $16.11

Results

Graham Number$22.76
Current Price$38.08
Margin of Safety-40.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.78%
Computed WACC: 5.78%
Cost of equity (Re)9.75%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.99 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.87%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)32.78%
Debt weight (D/V)67.22%

Results

Current Price$38.08
Implied Near-term FCF Growth13.5%
Historical Revenue Growth21.1%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$207.88M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.80

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$37.08
Current Price$38.08
Upside / Downside-2.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.04B
Current: 17.0×
Default: $9.19B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$99.59
Current Price$38.08
Upside / Downside+161.5%
Implied EV$17.79B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$5.19B$7.19B$9.19B$11.19B$13.19B
13.0x$97.51$74.33$51.15$27.97$4.80
15.0x$121.73$98.55$75.37$52.20$29.02
17.0x$145.95$122.77$99.59$76.42$53.24
19.0x$170.17$146.99$123.81$100.64$77.46
21.0x$194.39$171.21$148.03$124.86$101.68